(The jury is still out on how much school closures would help slow spread. If a hospital is overwhelmed by Covid-19 cases, patients will have a lower chance of surviving than they would if they became ill when the hospitals patient load was more manageable. Also in June, TFTP covered the findings of anMIT scientist who reporteda data analysis of the economic impact of the lockdown noting that whilst it played a key contributing role to the sharp rise of unemployment, it did not make a significant reduction in deaths. Its really all borne out of the risk of our health care infrastructure pulling apart at the seams if the virus spreads too quickly and too many people start showing up at the emergency room at any given time.. I expect that when we count the number of deaths from COVID-19 in each country in 1 year from now, the figures will be similar, regardless of measures taken. This excerpt sums it up nicely: "Telling Americans to wear masks when theyre unnecessary undermines efforts to persuade more people to wear masks where they are vital Banning college students from outdoor walks wont make them stay inside their dorm rooms for weeks on end. All the tyranny in Australia has worked to flatten the curve! Dear Mrs Branswell, You do that by trying to interfere with the natural flow of the outbreak.. None of it made much difference against the virus, it turned out. And we will continue to do this, to the end. Some public-health experts say enforcing social distancing for the next week won't be enough to "flatten the curve" in other words, to slow the rate at which people get infected so hospitals aren't overwhelmed. "If we can get all of America to pitch in for the next 15 days, we can flatten the curve. - Dr. Jerome Adams, U.S. Indeed, two weeks earlier, the Hawaii Department of Education had already abandoned its declaration about the need for no new cases, with the department director backpedaling furiously andstating: We would expect to be living with COVID-19 for a long time, and to have to wait for the last case to have occurred and another 28 days probably is not going to happen, so I believe that was really a placeholder.. Privacy Policy Europe have experienced similar before, it is a royal, tough and limiting inconvenience but it is temporary. The notion that the curve of this outbreak could be flattened began to gain credence after China took the extraordinary step of locking down tens of millions of ), I think that in terms of the decision-makers, we are in a place right now where we dont have the data we wish we had in order to inform these decisions, Rivers said. as well as other partner offers and accept our. We also want to express great appreciation to the American people. Countries across Europe, with the highest vaccination rates in the world, are now going into yet another round of lockdowns as cases hit record numbers. Although the most popular versions removed messages about reducing the overall case numbers of COVID-19, their focus on protecting hospital capacity seemed to connect strongly with people who could envision their local hospitals filling up. Sign up for notifications from Insider! Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said on Friday that social distancing would likely have to continue for "several weeks. Early on, we were told one of the most challenging aspects of COVID-19 was that individuals could spread the virus even if they showed no symptoms. Instead, he lied and lost the trust of half the country. But eight days after the plan came out, the US continues to witness dramatic daily spikes in coronavirus cases. That's because confirmed cases give a clearer picture of how people become infected and for how long. She added that early on, officials should have acted more swiftly when cases were detected to prevent spread through the closure of businesses. "At the end of the 15 day period, we will make a decision as to which way we want to go.". When asked who they trusted, people ranked medical professionals ahead of other scientists and the CDC. Even if you are young and otherwise healthy, you are at riskand your activities can increase the risk of contracting the Coronavirus for others. Federal guidelines advise that states wait until they experience a downward trajectory of documented cases within a 14-day period before proceeding to a phased opening. On April 9, the Hawaii Department of Educationannouncedthat all public schools are expected to stay shut until COVID-19 is no longer spreading in the community, defined as four weeks with no new cases.. And how do the lockdown tyrants respond? This is historical material frozen in time. While many folks, including those in government, have begun to open their eyes to the data and realize that locking people in their homes, shutting down society, and forcibly medicating people against their will does not stop Covid, others are still pressing on. Flatten the curve remains a popular goal among policymakers, but now were back to the old definition: fear remains that hospitals and healthcare personnel will be overwhelmed. What did come, however, was a slew of arbitrary and oftenridiculous mandatesand decrees from politicians who think that government force can stop a pandemic. Differences in infection rates are statistically insignificant and New York has the highest death rate. "From what I am hearing now, it likely will be 12 to 18 months before a vaccine is available.". So far more than 22,000 Americans have tested Amid the coronavirus pandemic in the U.S., a number of different states have already flattened the curve. It made sense, particularly in those first few weeks when we didnt know how bad things would get. I think weve had this unfortunate emergence of camps around the containment camp, the mitigation camp different groups presenting and championing their view of the world. After three years of around-the-clock tracking of COVID-19 data from As states throughout the U.S. lift stay-at-home orders, reopen businesses, and relax social distancing measures, this graph shows whether cases of COVID-19 are increasing, decreasing, or remaining constant within each state. If he had been honest from the start, Americans would have understood and industry would have stepped up and made masks just like they did with hand sanitizer. Reporting and analysis from the Hill and the White House, Its time to talk about flattening the curve again. Much like after 9/11, where the government leveraged an act of terror to seize unprecedented power in the form of the Patriot Act, we have allowed the government to go even further in the name of public health. State and local officials quickly Then in June, the World Health Organization released a statement saying "[a]symptomatic spread of COVID-19 is 'very rare.'" I Will Not Be Silenced! Two weeks to flatten the curve turned into months of restrictions, which have turned into nearly 365 days of mask-wearing, hand-washing and worries about We hope you found something here that sparked your interest and assists you in your awakening journey. But an individuals awareness of the flatten-the-curve graphic did not predict their willingness to engage in social distancing or their belief in societys ability to control the course of the pandemic. A website maintained by Johns Hopkins University which is considered the go-to website for Covid-19 statistics scrapes data from a variety of sources. Search interest in the term plateaued at the end of May 2020 and then basically stopped after that August. What does the coronavirus mean for the U.S. health care system? White House chief medical officer Dr. Anthony Faucitold congressional lawmakers on March 12, 2020 just days before Trump's 15-day guidance that the U.S. wasn't able to test as many people for the disease as other countries, calling it "a failing.". 700 Days Into 14 Days To Flatten The Curve And The Only Thing Thats Reduced Is Your Freedom. The U.S. is nearly halfway through a 15-day plan to flatten the curve and reduce the incidence of coronavirus. Exclusive analysis of biotech, pharma, and the life sciences, For many countries staring down fast-rising coronavirus case counts, the race is on to flatten the curve.. A version of the chart and the phrase flatten the curve first appeared in a 2007 report by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention about ways to control the spread of a pandemic. For donating, please view the following page by clicking here. Similarly, in Colorado,during an April 1 briefing, GovernorJared Polis stated that when it comes to COVID-19his policy is stamping this out, and claimed that mandatory social distancing could not be eased until total cases were falling. The answer for many is no for a variety of reasons. After all, as unemployment numbers skyrocketed andstate and local government budgets cratered, lockdown until vaccine didnt seem like such a viable strategy anymore. Serology testing is now supporting these assumptions. Much of this spike can be attributed to increased testing capacity at private and state laboratories. Trump's 15-day plan to slow the coronavirus' spread is too short, experts say. If tough containment worked for China and South Korea, then so should it also for the rest of the world. Other public health specialists weren't so forgiving of the White House's early response to the pandemic. People in car crashes, people with cancer, pregnant women who have complications during delivery all those people risk getting a lesser caliber of care when a hospital is trying to cope with the chaos of an outbreak. Surgeon General (March 2020) On March 16, 2020, one year ago today, President Donald Trump announced a fifteen-day effort to "slow the spread" of COVID-19. I would suggest that people not underestimate how effective the chart was based on this finding alone, because the popularity of this chart itself is strong evidence of how important the message was and how critical it is for scientists to send the right message out about something like this, she says. Listen to this divisive rhetoric. Vaccines were, in a way, the inheritor of the sentiment behind flatten the curve. The idea there was that people could take steps (staying at home more, social distancing) that would help the community broadly (by not overwhelming hospitals). Our government in the Netherlands is basing their strategy completely on the above model, and Im convinced it will be a disaster. The epidemic curve, a statistical chart used to visualize when and at what speed new cases are reported, could be flattened, rather than being allowed to rise exponentially. Vespignani, along with colleagues, published a recent modeling study in Science that showed travel restrictions which the United States has adopted to a degree only slow spread when combined with public health interventions and individual behavioral change. The next two weeks will be "absolutely critical" for containing the virus, Elaine Morrato, dean of the Parkinson School of Health Sciences and Public Health at Loyola University Chicago, told Business Insider. COVID-19 is spreading like wildfire in all countries, but we do not see itit almost always spreads from younger people with no or weak symptoms to other people who will also have mild symptoms. Initially, we were told to wear gloves and be wary of surfaces, only to have the CDC months later backtrack and state the "virus does not spread easily from contaminated surfaces." I know thats dreadful news to hear. Enter your email to receive notifications of new posts. And fewer people in the hospital meant not only fewer people dying from covid-19 but less risk that hospitals would be unable to care for other, non-covid patients. The message took off. https://t.co/nTz6UMX8yL, Matt Agorist (@MattAgorist) January 2, 2022. Well find out. And that is a bad place to be.. At the time, as city and state officials rushed to implement restrictions to curb the outbreak. While watching the spread of the chart, Li and Molder predicted that its simplicity would help people understand the benefits of interventions like social distancing. In one of her first public appearances since leaving her role in the White House, Birx said there were doctors "from credible universities who came to the White House with these opposite opinions.". The idea is that gradually al large part of the population has to become immune (app. Theres no better way to protect your family and your community than by arming yourself with accurate, up-to-date information. If a suitably supplied army of health personnel could cycle this virus through the population and treat those people that require extra help to get them safely past the critical point, this virus MAY have much less of a lethal and economic disruption to the world than the current variably applied isolation and business disruption natural course. Top editors give you the stories you want delivered right to your inbox each weekday. Although we didnt see a difference in peoples ideas or behavioral intentions based on their awareness of the chart, the message is still beneficial because theres some evidence that it allowed people to form a more informed decision without relying on trust.. 14 Days to Flatten the Curve Meme. From the start of the pandemic, no one has been willing to admit what they don't know and as a result, so-called experts have just assumed the worst with devastating consequences for our economy and individual liberties. States that appear in shades of green have seen declines in cases over the same period of time. Access your favorite topics in a personalized feed while you're on the go. But flattening the curve, reflected by the lower gray swell, is achieved by taking strong measures, like physical and social distancing, to make sure the number of cases increases more gradually. As TFTP hasreported, we predicted this. Political Prankster Trolls City Council Dressed as Furry to Call Out Trans Lunacy, Alex Jones Joins Steven Crowder After $1 billion Sandy Hook Verdict This Means War!, The Inside Scoop Behind The Push To Make Trump Speaker Of The House, AOC Humiliated At Town Hall In Viral Clip: Why Cant You Be More Like Tulsi Gabbard?, Revolver Founder Darren Beattie on Jones Verdict: The Cost of Free Speech is One BILLION Dollars. And on June 22, aHarvard University studyreiterated the fact that while this policy did not save lives it decimated the economy; while modern robber barons such as Zuckerberg, Gates, and Bezos saw their portfolios expand exponentially. That was the idea of flattening the curve , reducing exposure to the virus to limit the number of people who fell ill and, by extension, who needed to be Morrato said social-distancing efforts in other countries could offer clues as to how long Americans should remain isolated from one another. This Project is supported by Bloomberg Philanthropies and the Stavros Niarchos Foundation (SNF). Why flattening the curve may be the worlds best bet to slow the coronavirus. However, people who had seen the widespread chart relied less on their trust in scientists when determining how controllable the pandemic was. One public-health expert said social distancing should be enforced until a vaccine is developed in 12 to 18 months. 2023 CNBC LLC. This meme trend came few days ago and is now flooded over social media. Subscribe now to get breaking news from President Trump before anyone else. We ravaged convenience stores for hand sanitizer and Clorox wipes. More importantly, we saw an increase in rhetoric that specifically rejected the idea of avoiding infection. For more on this, and instructions, click here. "Comfort and physical safety are boons to humanity, but they bring some costs, too. Tuesday marked one year since President Donald Trump announced his administration's "15 days to slow the spread" campaign, asking Americans to stay home for about two weeks in an effort to contain the coronavirus. Just on the wrong axis. The New York Times of all places, acknowledged this phenomenon in a recent piece titled 'Covid Absolutism.' Li and UWMadison doctoral student Amanda Molder published their findings Aug. 27 in the journal Public Understanding of Science. So, we must keep society locked down indefinitely until a vaccine is found or until there can be enough testing and tracking of infections among the entire population. Some simple math offers alarming answers, U.S. communities are braced for coronavirus outbreaks. By early May, it was clear that the containment strategy was failing, since, in the United States at least, few elected officials were prepared to stomach the idea of keeping their economies locked down until a vaccine appeared or until new cases disappeared completely. And South Korea, which has had the third largest outbreak outside of China, also appears to be beating back transmission through aggressive actions. Notably, the 15-day guidance made no mention of who should seek out testing and under what circumstances. Contact Us, Watch: Angry Parents Slam School Board for Sexually Grooming Students with Family Friendly Drag Shows, Reporter Trolls School Board By Dressing Like Trans Teacher With Colossal Prosthetic Breasts, Breaking! DeSantis critical of China, hazy on Ukraine as he charts foreign policy path. Suck it up, do your share, so that therell be a lot more life to live yet after this period. In the early days of the COVID-19 panicback in mid-Marcharticles began to appear pushing the idea of flattening the curve (theWashington Postran an article called Flatten the Curve on March 14). Individuals were told that this was their "World War II" and the most patriotic thing they could do is sit at home and watch Netflix. The Great Reset Is Now An Audiobook! If you look at the curves of outbreaks, they go big peaks, and then come down. "The thing we were worried about was going to kill a giant portion of our population A half a million Americans have died with COVID, and yeah, it's a tragedy, but what is more of a tragedy is that there is not an emphasis on keeping people healthy. Population health educator Drew Harris adapted The Economists chart to share on Twitter. "Seriously people STOP BUYING MASKS!" communications, covid-19, health, Feedback or questions? Anthony Fauci had just lied to Congress about his views on COVID-19. Without that kind of data, public officials have been loath to take the types of measures that would help to flatten the countrys epidemic curve. This mass dehumanization by the establishment against people for their personal medical choices cannot be ignored or understated. I think the whole notion of flattening the curve is to slow things down so that this doesnt hit us like a brick wall, said Michael Mina, associate medical director of clinical microbiology at Bostons Brigham and Womens Hospital. We were given apocalyptic predictions about infection rates of "40 to 70 percent" and told millions would die. That argument has been counterproductive, Mike Ryan, the head of the WHOs health emergencies program, said Monday. Many governors and mayors nonetheless continued to claim that they would not allow any easing of the lockdowns until cases began to decline, or until testing became widespread. Neither of those things has happened, yet governments have already begun to significantly loosen lockdowns. But this is precisely the time when public health measures of this sort can have an impact, he said. And with it went the idea of flattening the curve. I thought the concentration camps were working. What has happened to this country? Again, weve seen that increases in coronavirus infections have, in fact, strained intensive care units since the pandemic began. But covid-19 is more preventable than other medical issues that might spur the need to be admitted to the ICU particularly with vaccines available that greatly reduce the chance of serious illness.

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